Home / Health / American Coronavirus: Another 20,000 people could die in the next 3 weeks, the CDC ensemble’s predictions show

American Coronavirus: Another 20,000 people could die in the next 3 weeks, the CDC ensemble’s predictions show



The prediction of the ensemble, published by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, predicts over 173,000 American deaths by August 22. At least 154,447 Americans have died since the start of the pandemic.
Across the country, local leaders and public health experts have urged residents not to let their guard down as social gatherings, particularly among younger groups, they are fueling the spread of the virus. While some southern states seem to be nearing their peak, experts say others, including the Midwest, are raising new concerns.

The CDC says that new deaths are likely to increase in Alabama, Kentucky, New Jersey, Puerto Rico, Tennessee and Washington. Some of these states had previously reported progress in their coronavirus numbers, but are now raising their alarm again.

In New Jersey, officials reported that there had been no deaths in hospitals for at least 24 hours on Thursday for the first time since early March. But as the state recorded this “extraordinary milestone,”

; Governor Phil Murphy said, daily cases have increased since last month. At the end of June, coronavirus positive cases averaged around 350 per day and that number rose to 550 at the end of July.

“We are in a very dangerous place,” said the governor. The governor’s remarks come a few days after New Jersey officials broke a party of around 700 people, although state restrictions on the meetings remain.

“Anyone who goes around refusing to wear a mask or hosting an indoor house party or boarding a boat is contributing directly to these increases. This must stop and must stop now.”

In Louisville, Kentucky, the mayor reported another alarming trend: nearly 20% of coronavirus cases in the city – which now reach 6,870 – were reported in seven days. The state reported over 500 new cases on Saturday, according to the governor, including 11 infections that occurred in children 3 years of age or younger.

Expert: multiple masks could mean multiple lives saved

Despite an increase in cases in recent weeks, experts insist that ways to curb the spread remain simple: avoid dating, social distance and wearing a mask.

While some young people in the United States continue to attend social gatherings, they could bring the virus home unwittingly, experts said, as many young people are asymptomatic.

The coronavirus epidemic of a night camp in Georgia is a warning of what could happen when schools reopen, says CDC
In Washington state, health officials said at least 30% of residents who tested positive for coronavirus detected it as someone asymptomatic.

Washington is one of at least 39 states that have some kind of masked mandate. But even with mandates, not enough Americans needed to bend the curve for the infection rate are using facial masks, an expert said Friday.

“We are approaching about 55% of Americans wearing a mask,” said Dr. Chris Murray, a researcher behind an influential coronavirus model from the University of Washington. “This is good news, but of course there is still a long way to go before reaching levels like Singapore has 95%, which would really save many lives in this country.”

States requiring masks
Florida sets a record for the number of coronavirus deaths on the 4th consecutive day

Texas researchers reported that just two weeks of social distancing policies reduced the spread of the virus by approximately 65% ​​globally, preventing over 1.5 million new cases.

“We found that states observed significant reductions in transmission speeds following the implementation of social distancing policies, compared to states without such policies,” said Daniel McGrail, a postdoctoral fellow who studies systems biology.

“In fact, two of the smallest reductions in diffusion have been observed in states without policies of social distancing.”

These are the United States with travel restrictions

Charlotte GOP convention closed to the press

In an unprecedented move in modern American political history, reporters will not be present when Republican leaders vote to officially nominate President Donald Trump as the 2020 Republican presidential candidate in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Charlotte's GOP convention is closed to the press, portions will be streamed

The already reduced Republican National Convention by the end of the month will be closed to the press, a spokesman and a republican official told CNN.

Republican officials said they were forced to limit attendance because of social distance restrictions imposed by the state governor.

Not all delegates will participate. Instead, 336 delegates will vote on the convention’s work – one for every six delegates.

Some proceedings – including the vote to formally name Trump – will be streamed live, according to a Republican official.

Greater selection could control college outbreaks

Meanwhile, with several college-related outbreaks now and some schools starting to reopen, parents and local leaders are working to determine the safest options for the academic year.
What the top 15 US school districts are planning to reopen

According to a modeling study published Friday in the JAMA Network Open magazine, frequent virus screening may be needed for college students.

The researchers found that screening of college students every two days – even with a low quality test that detects 70% of cases – is an inexpensive option, estimated to keep infections at a more controllable number than weekly tests with a higher quality option.

For younger students, districts across the country have taken different approaches: some have opted to go completely virtual at the start of the year and others offering hybrid options.

The study finds increased viral load in young children, raising questions about the likelihood that they will transmit coronavirus

While some leaders said younger students face a lower risk from the virus, they may still be able to pass it on, experts said.

Children under the age of five, if infected with the virus, have up to 100 times more genetic material in the nose than older children or adults, according to a new study published Thursday as a research letter in the journal JAMA Pediatrics.

“He says younger children up to 5 have many, many times more viruses in their nasopharynx than adults, which would mean that it would be reasonable to assume that they would be able to transmit the virus, so they are not immune,” Anthony Fauci, one of the leading infectious disease experts, he told CNN.

CNN’s Ben Tinker, Jamiel Lynch, Hollie Silverman, Shelby Lin Erdman, Andrea Kane and Maggie Fox contributed to this report.


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