The spread rate of COVID-19 in Colorado has declined by almost half in recent weeks, an encouraging sign as health officials try to stem a resurgence of the potentially fatal disease.
The average number of people who will catch the disease from a single infected person, known as the reproduction rate or R0, dropped to 1 on Friday, state health officials reported, meaning that the disease has basically been stopped for the time being. .
This was an improvement from mid-July when it was 1.8, according to the University of Colorado, and a big difference from spring, when it was between 3 and 4 and was rapidly spreading.
“We are seeing a stabilization in the course of hospitalizations and a stabilization of the percentage of positives, in some way, depending on how you look at the number of cases,”
However, officials remain wary because Colorado is right on the edge – if the rate rises above 1 again, the state will see an increase in cases as the disease begins to spread again.
Herlihy warned that as the rate rose, the number could go either way. It is still possible to see a “rapid increase” in cases where coloradians loosen practices of social estrangement and stop wearing masks, he said.
It is not possible to identify one of the reasons for the drop in the rate, Herlihy said. But it’s probably due to a combination of public health measures, including the governor’s masked mandate, issued on July 16; the closing of the bars again, announced on 30 June; and the governor decreed a 10pm last call to serve alcohol, released on July 21st.
The drop also likely means more people are adhering to social removal recommendations, he said.
Based on cellular data, nearly three-quarters of the state’s population is taking advice to stay one-and-a-half feet apart in public, up nearly 20% from early July, health officials said. public. It peaked nearly 90% in May, according to state data.
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