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How Democrats are handing Donald Trump a viable path to a second term

Yet, in the last two weeks, the Democrats have handed Trump two numbers on a gold plate – and it is already clear that he is taking them. Big

1) In New York, Democratic Governor Andrew Cuomo signed the Reproductive Health Act, which, among other things, takes the word "abortion" from the state penal code, ensures that doctors and clinics they provide abortions can not be loaded and encodes that abortions can be performed after 24 weeks if the fetus is not viable or the mother's health is at serious risk. Conservative critics – in New York and elsewhere – have painted the law as an excess and effectively legalizing abortion not only in the third quarter, but until birth.

Just as it was happening, Virginia Governor Ralph Northam (D) went to a local radio station and tried to explain his support for legislation that would loosen current restrictions on short-term abortions in the Commonwealth.

Here's how he said Northam (and yes, this came before the photo of him ̵
1; or not – in blackface or KKK clothes turned viral):

"[Third trimester abortions are] done in the cases in which there may be severe deformity. There may be a fetus that is enviable. So in this particular example, if a mother is in labor, I can tell you exactly what would happen: the child would be released, the child would be kept at ease, the child would be revived if that was what the mother and the family desired between the doctors and the mother. "[19659006] The Republicans reacted immediately, insisting that Northam sounded like he was defending infanticide. Northam, a pediatric neurologist, insisted that what he was describing was only in cases of non-viable pregnancies or "severe fetal abnormalities", but the damage was done.

"This will lift the entire pro-life movement as perhaps it has never been lifted before," Trump told the Daily Caller in an interview. "The pro-life movement is very 50-50, it's a very 50-50 problem, it actually gained a point or two over the years, I think this will raise the issue because people have never thought about it in these terms . "
Trump is not wrong. While surveys show considerable majority support to keep abortion legal, people are much more divided when it comes to short-term abortions. Only 13% said abortion should be legal in the third quarter in a Gallup poll of 2018, while 60% wanted it to be legal in the first three months of pregnancy in the same survey.
2) Last week, Liberals in Congress – led by New York representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Massachusetts Senator Ed Markey – introduced the so-called "Green New Deal" – a legislative package designed to address the economic and environmental threat represented by climate change. According to Lydia DePillis of CNN the "Green New Deal" exposes:

"A ten-year economic mobilization" that would eliminate the use of fossil fuels and overhaul the infrastructure of the nation while building whole levels in the existing social security network … The 14-page resolution calls for a shift towards renewable energy sources and 100% zero emissions and calls for the creation of millions of new high-paying jobs to help eliminate poverty.

While DePillis notes that Ocasio-Cortez and the other co-sponsors of the "Green New Deal" resist any kind of total cost for their plan, an estimate of a plan that resembles the conservative American Action Forum claims that there would be 1 trillion dollars in additional regulatory burdens – and this does not take into account the cost of all new investments.
All you have to do is read a transcript of Trump's speech in El Paso, Texas, Monday night – charged as the first ech of his 2020 run since the 2018 election – to understand how much of the opportunity Trump thinks it was delivered by the Democrats on these two problems. Fortunately for you, I've read Trump's transcript – so you do not have to do it!

Trump repeatedly hammered the "Green New Deal".

"I do not really like their policy of taking your car away, taking away your flights by air, of," We take a train to California, "of …" You are no longer allowed to own cows ", he said.

E:" They want to take away your car, reduce the value of your home and put millions of Americans out of work, spend 100 trillion dollars, which, by the way, there are no 100 trillion dollars . You have to spend 100 trillion dollars. No other country, except us, will do it, this is also a small problem.

He also chased the Democrats on abortion.

Democrats are in favor of "allowing children to be torn from the mother's womb until they are born," Trump said at one point. Speaking of Northam in particular, Trump said: "The governor stated that he would even allow a newborn to come out into the world and wrap the baby and make the baby comfortable, and then talk to the mother and talk to the father, perform the child. "

In case you missed the point, Trump punctured him at home like this:" They are becoming the party of socialism, of indefinite abortion, of open borders and of crime " .

Here's the thing: that line, if it continues like this, could be very, very effective, politically speaking. Obviously, it oversimplifies both the "Green New Deal" and the one that the Democrats have said and done about abortion. (The Washington Post Fact Checker says that Trump "is misrepresenting the Green New Deal as the plan is currently written.")

But politics is often won by the simple topic or by the easiest summation.

I can imagine the possible Democratic candidate trying to explain that the "Green New Deal" represents a radical – and necessary – rethinking of our energy consumption habits and what they mean for the long-term health of the planet.

And Trump answering saying, "How will I get you to Hawaii? By train?" (A phrase that used to hit Senator Mazie Hirono in Monday's speech.)

And the audience in the debate bursts out laughing.

For those of you – and I know you're out there – who responds to this hypothetical scenario screaming "IS YOUR WORK MADE CHECK THAT", I'd like to remind you of the 2016 campaign. And the myriad of facts check that news organizations they did on Trump. And how, for a lot of people who voted for him, the fact that he lied quite clearly, repeatedly, did not matter. In fact, the idea that media factories often said that Trump did not deal with real facts meant that a fair number of people more likely would vote for him.

Why? Because Trump effectively painted Hillary Clinton, the media and everyone else who did not support him as an indifferent elite. As "other" – people who thought it was their right to tell the average person how to live their lives, even if those same people had zero clues about how normal people lived.

Do you sound familiar? It should. Because that exact strategy is what Trump is putting in place right now. He paints a picture of democrats as murderers of socialist children. Or with the words of Alvy Singer of "Annie Hall:" "Do not you see? The rest of the country looks in New York as if we were leftist pornographers, communists, Jews, homosexuals."

At the root of this strategy is a concession: Trump knows he can not win if the election of 2020 is a kind of referendum on him. Most Americans simply do not like it or think they are doing a good job. The only way to win is to paint his final democratic opponent not only deeply out of touch with the average American, but also more than willing to install a value system that makes the United States seem very similar to the parties less tasty than Europe. [19659013cynical]? MUCH SO. But also Trump's most plausible path for a second term. And one that the Democrats are unknowingly helping and fostering right now.

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