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Tropical storm Sally forms in the Gulf of Mexico

Floods are in effect until Sunday for Florida’s west coast areas including Tampa, Bradenton, Port Charlotte and Fort Myers. In these areas 2 to 4 inches of rain are expected over the weekend.

Most forecast models predict Sally will move to the northern Gulf coast and will likely land somewhere between New Orleans and Panama City by the end of Monday or Tuesday, however if the track moves further west or slows down, the ‘landing could hold out until Wednesday.

“The cyclone is likely to become a hurricane in 2-3 days, although an increase in the vertical cut could slow the rate of intensification over the northern Gulf of Mexico,” according to the National Hurricane Center.

Once that area of ​​the Gulf Coast is reached, the governance patterns are interrupted and the system winds near the coast.

Whether the meander is offshore before a landfall or onshore it won̵

7;t make much difference in terms of rainfall. In both cases, due to slow forward movement along the Gulf coast, significant flooding is possible.

As of now, widespread accumulations of precipitation of 4 to 6 inches are likely. However, there will be isolated areas along the coast that could collect more than a foot of rain.

Already an active season

So far this season, we’ve seen 18 named storms. The average for an entire season is 12. At the start of the season, forecasters demanded a very active season.

Many storms have broken records for being the first to be named to date, including Cristobal was the first “C” letter storm in recorded history and Hanna was the first “H” letter storm. All but three named storms (Arthur, Bertha, and Dolly) set records for being the first named storm for the respective letter.

Sally is just one of many Atlantic systems. The NHC is currently observing six areas: three tropical storms and three tropical disturbances. Thursday marked the culmination of hurricane season in the Atlantic.

“Tropical Storm Paulette is expected to strengthen into a hurricane today,” says CNN meteorologist Haley Brink. “Paulette is expected to head for Bermuda and potentially land early Monday morning as a Category 2 storm. A hurricane watch is in place for Bermuda with possible hurricane conditions within 48 hours. Tropical storm conditions will begin to hit. Bermuda on Sunday afternoon and the hurricane conditions will start on Sunday evening “.

Another system to watch out for is a large low pressure area southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. This system has a 90% chance of development in the next five days. The National Hurricane Center predicts a tropical depression will form within the next two days. After Sally there are only three names left on this year’s official list: Teddy, Vicky and Wilfred. After that the NHC will switch to using the Greek alphabet.

La Niña is officially here

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration announced Thursday that it is issuing a La Niña warning, which means La Niña conditions are present in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean.
In a typical El Niño phase, much of the Pacific Ocean is characterized by warmer waters, while La Niña features a cooling of those same Pacific waters. In the case of hurricanes, La Niña weakens strong atmospheric winds, which allows hot air pockets to grow vertically and transform into hurricanes.

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