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US Coronavirus: We are also close to getting Covid-19 to where it needs to be by autumn, medical experts say

Now, the bad news: in many of those same states, testing has also dropped. And the overall number of new cases per day is still too high as the US faces a trio of major challenges this fall.

“Fall is not really going to be very beautiful,” said epidemiologist Dr Celine Gounder.

On Sunday, 34,450 new cases were reported nationwide, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. It’s better than the last two weeks of July, when the United States had more than 60,000 new cases every day.

But nationwide, testing dropped 10% last week from the previous week, according to data from the Covid Tracking Project.

And of the confirmed cases we̵

7;re aware of, 34,450 is still a huge number, health experts said Monday.

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“We’ve never really filed cases. Remember, we’re talking about 35,000 cases a day. Today, we’re likely to get to more than 40,000 cases a day,” said Michael Osterholm, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the ‘University of Minnesota.

“In April … we had 22,000 cases a day and we thought,” My God, it can’t get any worse. “And what’s going on here is we’re going to see this kind of up and down, up and down. But every time it goes up, it goes a little higher. Every time it goes down, it doesn’t go all the way. ”

Track the virus in your state and nationwide
According to data from Johns Hopkins, more than 6.5 million people were infected with the coronavirus in the United States on Monday afternoon and more than 194,000 died.

3 big challenges this fall

Epidemiologists say the US needs to keep the virus in check because the US will soon face several challenges at once:

The next flu season: The impending flu season clashing with the coronavirus pandemic could strain or maximize hospital capacity as hundreds of thousands of Americans are hospitalized with the flu each year.
Yes, you can have Covid-19 and the flu at the same time. Here's what it could do to your body
And having one of the two viruses can make you more vulnerable to infection with the other.

“You’re going to have all these patients walking into hospitals and medical offices with symptoms that could be the coronavirus, which could be the flu,” Gounder said.

“And we will have to treat them all as if they have the coronavirus. So this is a very dangerous and scary situation to be in.”

Coldest time: If more people gather indoors, the risk of viral spread is greater than in outdoor gatherings, doctors say.

Academic struggles: While millions of students grapple with online learning, many schools that have brought students back to class are suffering from epidemics.

Athens-Clarke County, Georgia – home to the University of Georgia – experienced a “dramatic spike” in cases after keeping low case and death tolls all summer, Mayor Kelly Girtz said.

“Clearly, it’s the return to campus of a large number of students who aren’t here over the summer,” the mayor said.

Michigan State University students were asked to quarantine after the local health department reported 342 new cases among people affiliated with the university since Aug.24, East Lansing Mayor Aaron Stephens said.

Good news on the vaccine front

While health experts point out that a Covid-19 vaccine may not be available to the public until 2021, there are promising signs among many of the vaccines currently in phase 3.

Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla told CBS “Face the Nation” that there was a “good chance” that researchers would know by the end of October whether his experimental vaccine works.

“Then, of course, it’s up to the regulator to issue (a) license or not,” Bourla said.

The University of Oxford has announced the resumption of the trial in the UK after being stopped due to an unexplained illness in one of the volunteers. Experts say it’s not unusual for processes to be halted.
Covid-19 vaccine studies have been slow in recruiting minority volunteers. And that could delay a vaccine
And vaccine makers are reporting progress in recruiting minority trial participants, which has been a struggle in recent weeks.

“I think we should strive to have as diverse a population as possible,” Bourla told CBS, stressing the importance of having a diverse group of volunteers given the greater impact Covid-19 has had on communities of color.

“At the moment we are not bad. In fact, we have a population that globally is only 60% of the Caucasian race, about 40%, minorities.”

Moderna, who is also in phase 3 testing for its vaccine, said its minority enrollment has also improved. About 59% of the participants are white, 22% are Hispanic, 11% are black, 5% are Asian and 3% are from other populations.

CNN’s Dakin Andone, Lauren Mascarenhas, Naomi Thomas, Maggie Fox and John Bonifield contributed to this report.

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